Our commodity forecasts offer data-driven insights across key sectors, including metals, livestock, agriculture, and energy. Using quantitative analysis and market intelligence, we provide three-month outlooks to help investors navigate price trends, manage risk, and optimize portfolio decisions in global commodity markets. All forecasts are based on continuous futures contracts for the underlying asset.
Frequency: Monthly; Prediction timeframe: 3 months
Updated: 3rd Feb 2025
Indicator Information:
Fundamental = Score out of 10 for the intrinsic value of the asset using various economic, accounting, operational and market data sources.
Technical = Score out of 10 for the predicted future price action based on historical price data, volume and expected statistical trends.
Forums Sentiment Aggregator = Score out of 10 for the recommendations and optimism in the particular asset or security as surveyed with a select list of exclusive stock market trading forums, research platforms, communities and sophisticated trader networks.
Quant Signals Aggregator = Score out of 10 for the optimism and bullish sentiment in the particular asset as gauged from the aggregate signals and ratings from major quantitative machine-learning based trading signal providers.
Rumour Pulse Index = Score out of 10 for the bullish sentiment in a particular asset based on NLP/ML algorithms to provide insights into positive or negative rumours spreading on social platforms, digital media, and other publications.
Top-Rated Analyst Consensus = A consensus rating of some of the top analysts, investors and experts from their holdings and recommendations.
Government Trades = The level of bullish activity in the asset determined from analysis of holding changes of central banks, strategic reserves, and trade balances.
Hedge Fund Activity = The level of bullish activity in the asset determined from analysis of holdings of top hedge funds and quantitative investment funds.
Overall AI = AI generated and proprietary formulated score out of 10 for investment rating of the asset considering all data and analysis.
Risk = Level of Risk in the asset based on the factors that can impact the performance and stability of assets, such as market volatility and economic conditions.
Probability of Positive Return = Gives the percentage chance that the performance is net positive (avoids a loss) over the forecast horizon. Based on the probabilities of similar predictions based on historical data in back-tested models for the asset.